
๐ฎPrediction Markets
Prediction Markets let you take positions on real-world events, combining elements of trading, strategy and probability.
Instead of traditional betting, you buy into outcomes based on their expected likelihood and manage positions as markets evolve.
โ๏ธ How it works
- Choose an outcome you believe will happen
- Enter the market at the current price
- Profit if the probability moves in your favour or the outcome resolves correctly
๐ Market coverage
- Sports events
- Esports and gaming outcomes
- Crypto-related events
- Real-world and cultural moments
โก Real-time dynamics
- Prices adjust based on demand and new information
- Positions can be managed before resolution
- Opportunities emerge as sentiment shifts
๐ฏ Strategy-driven gameplay
- Identify mispriced probabilities
- React quickly to new developments
- Balance risk across different positions
๐ก Resolution sources
- Every market lists its resolution source on the market page before you take a position (e.g. official tournament result, exchange close price, regulatory filing).
- The source is the single source of truth โ markets settle on what the source reports, not on commentary, leaks or unofficial channels.
- Where multiple sources are listed, the primary source wins; secondaries are used only if the primary is unavailable.
โ๏ธ Settlement
- Markets resolve and pay out automatically the moment the resolution source confirms an outcome.
- Winning shares pay out at 1.00 per share; losing shares pay 0.
- If the source publishes a result outside the expected window, settlement still happens on the official result โ not on intermediate market prices.
๐ Trading rules
- You can buy or sell positions at the current market price at any time before the market closes.
- Prices reflect live demand and probability โ they can move sharply on new information.
- Once the market closes for trading (typically when the event begins or the resolution source is about to publish), no new positions can be opened.
๐ซ Void conditions
A market may be voided and all stakes returned at the entry price when:
- The underlying event is cancelled or never takes place within the published window.
- The resolution source becomes permanently unavailable with no equivalent alternative.
- The market is opened in error (wrong event, wrong resolution criteria, palpable pricing mistake).
- An ambiguous outcome cannot be resolved against the published rules.
๐ฃ๏ธ Dispute window
Once a market is settled, players have a dispute window to flag issues with the resolution (typically 72 hours, market-dependent). Open a ticket via live chat with the market ID and the evidence supporting your claim. Power.win reviews every credible dispute against the published resolution source.
๐ก๏ธ Integrity
- Insider information, market manipulation and coordinated trading are forbidden.
- Positions opened in violation may be voided and accounts restricted.
- We work with the underlying data providers to detect manipulation and protect honest traders.
๐ง Trade real-world outcomes. Verify the source. Settle on the truth.
